Key Highlights
- Experts say the real estate market recovery will start to get better next year. They call this change the “Great Housing Reset.”
- Home sales in the housing market will likely go up by about 3%. This is because mortgage rates could drop to the low-6% range. If that happens, more people will feel ready to buy.
- Housing affordability should also improve. Wages may go up faster than home prices. The rise in home prices could be just 1% to 2%, so people may keep up.
- The real estate market is more balanced now than in recent years. Buyers have more homes to see, and they can try to get better deals.
- New construction, such as building smaller homes and townhomes, will add more affordable choices for those who want to buy.
After a time when home sales were slow and prices were high, the real estate market is starting to look better. There are no big price jumps at this time. The experts say the real estate market will begin to get stronger but will take time. Home sales may go up next year. This is a welcome shift for people who want to buy or sell their house. If you have waited, now is a good time to see what the housing market and changes mean for you. Get ready so you can make your move in the real estate market.

Understanding the Recent Slowdown in Home Sales
You may have noticed the real estate market is not the same as before. A big reason is the high mortgage rates right now. Some people find it tough to pay each month when these rates are up. A lot of buyers have trouble getting homes. This is making home sales go down. That’s why things feel slow in the real estate market.
The reason for this pause was because costs went up. This made it hard for people to have enough money. Now, as we look at next year, it is good to know what caused the market to slow down. We can also learn from it for the future.
Key Economic Factors That Led to the Slowdown
The housing market has been slow mainly because mortgage rates went up a lot. In just a couple of years, rates changed from their lowest point near 3% to over 7%. The Federal Reserve did this when it raised the interest rate to bring down prices. Because of that, people saw their monthly mortgage payments get much higher.
The National Association of Realtors says the usual monthly payment is now over $1,000 higher than it was before the pandemic. This rise made it hard for people to buy homes. A lot of buyers were shut out of the market because of this. It was even tougher for those buying for the first time. These first-time buyers did not have any equity from another home to help them.
There was not enough housing supply and homes did not have prices that people could afford. This made it hard for people who wanted to buy. Now, there are more homes on the market. But, since the cost to get a loan is high, many buyers do not get in. That is why, in recent years, we saw sluggish sales.
How the Past Downturn Is Shaping Today’s Real Estate Market
Today’s market is not like before. Back then, there were a lot of foreclosures and people sold homes for low prices. Now, things are not that way. Most of the people who have homes today have good credit. They also have a lot of equity in their houses, and many have low fixed-rate mortgages. This helps them feel steady about their money. With all this, there is not much reason for people to sell their homes quickly. Because of this, home values have not gone down fast in today’s market.
This situation has kept the real estate market steady. But it has also made the housing affordability crisis worse. There are not a lot of homeowners who want to sell their homes. Because of this, the number of homes for sale stays low. When there are not many homes, prices stay high. The Federal Reserve tried to control inflation by making rates go up. This slowed down demand. But there are still not enough homes. That is why the real estate market has not seen a big drop in prices.
Things are getting better now because of what happened in the past. Instead of things getting good very fast, experts say things will slowly improve. The market is moving toward balance as more people can get homes. Home values are not dropping a lot, because many people still have a lot left in their homes after the last hard time.
Lessons for Buyers and Sellers from Recent Trends
There have been some big changes in the real estate market. If you want to move now, there are good things you can learn. The most important thing to know is that the wild seller’s market from the pandemic is over. Real estate today is more even. Because of this, both people who want to buy and those who want to sell will need to find new ways to buy or sell their home.
For buyers, waiting has worked out well. There are now more homes to pick from, and not as many buyers. This means you get more time to look over your choices. You also have a better shot at talking about the deal.
For sellers, you need to be ready to change. You may have to set your asking price at a level that suits the market. You should also be open to making some changes to your deal, so it has a better chance of going through.
Here are a few key lessons from recent trends:
- Sellers need to price correctly: If you ask too much for a home in today’s market, it can sit there for a long time. A price that is too high may not get people to come see it.
- Buyers have more power: There are more homes to pick from now. This means buyers can choose what they like. There are not as many bidding wars.
- A good agent is crucial: You really need a good agent to help you make your way in today’s market. Getting the right person matters if you want to buy or sell.

Early Signs of a Housing Market Rebound
The real estate market is picking up, but it will take time. There are early signs that the housing market is coming back. Recent data shows home price growth is staying about the same for now. Fewer sellers feel they have to cut the price. These things show the real estate market is becoming more balanced again.
The changes show that the big fall in sales is not dropping as fast now. There is not a big rise yet, but the upward pressure on what people do is growing, even if it is slow. In the next parts, we will talk about clear signs in the economy and what experts say about growth in the next year.
Economic Signals Pointing Toward Growth
There are a few big signs that show the housing market rebound is getting better. One good thing is that home prices may soon get easier to pay. For the first time since the money troubles, wages should go up faster than the home price. This means people will have more power to buy homes. Owning a home may be much easier for more people now.
Mortgage rates are still high, but they are going down from the recent peak. Many people who study the market say that lower mortgage rates will be around into next year. This is good news for buyers who want to get a home. Recent data shows there is now more for-sale inventory, so people have more homes to pick from. All of this helps to make the market better and more balanced for everyone.
Here is what people say will go on this year when you look at other years as well:
| Metric | 2026 Realtor.com Forecast | 2025 Full-Year Expectations |
| Mortgage Rates (Average) | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Existing-Home Median Price Appreciation (YoY) | +2.2% | +2.0% |
| Existing-Home Sales (YoY) | +1.7% | +0.1% |
| Existing-Home For-Sale Inventory (YoY) | +8.9% | +15.2% |
What Experts and Leading Economists Are Forecasting
Many people who know a lot about the housing market think things will get better soon. Lawrence Yun is the chief economist at the National Association of Realtors. He says there will be more home sales in 2026. He believes that home sales will rise by 14% across the country. This is because mortgage rates will be lower and buyers will have more houses to choose from.
Danielle Hale is the chief economist at Realtor.com. She says the main thing to watch is how people pay for homes. For the first time since 2022, the average monthly payment could be less than 30% of what people get paid. This is a welcome shift. It makes homes feel more within reach for many people. This change is a big reason why we might see home sales go up. There could be an increase in total home sales because of it.
Some other experts feel hopeful too, even if they see things a bit differently. A senior economist at Fannie Mae said that home purchase feeling has not gone up, but the drive for owning a home is still strong in the housing market. These forecasts may show small differences in numbers, but they all point to the idea that the housing market will change and start to get better slowly next year.
Regional Differences in the Real Estate Market Recovery
The real estate market is different in each city and state across the United States. Your own local market may not be the same as what is happening in other places. Things like policy, new construction, and job growth all play a part in how the real estate market feels where you are. Some areas in the South and West have more new construction, so the real estate market in those places is more stable now.
The Northeast and Midwest still do not have enough homes for sale. Because of this, home prices in the area keep getting higher. Some cities, like Austin and Nashville, used to be places many people wanted to live, but now there may be less demand in those cities. At the same time, places where homes cost less are starting to get more people looking to buy.
Here are some regional trends to watch:
- Markets likely to heat up: The suburbs of New York City, Cleveland, OH, and Madison, WI, may start to grow soon. These areas are more easy to afford for most people. There are also other good reasons why people want to move here.
- Markets likely to cool down: In some parts of coastal Florida and Texas, homes might stay on the market for longer. This is because higher insurance costs and other problems are making people wait before they buy.
Pockets of strength: The Midwest and Great Lakes areas are getting more buyers right now. A lot of people choose these places because homes are still easy to afford. These areas feel more steady.
The Impact of Mortgage Rates and Affordability on Buyer Demand
There is a clear link between mortgage rates, housing affordability, and buyer demand. When mortgage rates go up, the amount you pay each month also goes up. This makes it harder for more people to buy a home. In the last couple of years, we saw this happen as buyer demand dropped a lot.
Now, many people think that mortgage rates will go down. This can do the opposite of what happened before. If mortgage rates drop even a little bit, there could be many buyers coming back into the housing market. The way mortgage rates and buyers are linked is what helps the housing market come back, too. When it costs less to get a home, more people feel ready to buy, and this can be seen all over the country.
Mortgage Rate Projections for Next Year
Many experts say that mortgage rates will keep dropping slowly next year. But these rates will still be higher than what we saw during the pandemic. The average 30-year fixed rate will be about 6.3% for the year. This is better than the 6.6% average from 2025. It is also much lower than times when rates went over 7%.
How mortgage rates change depends on how the economy is doing. If the job market is weak, the Federal Reserve might lower its main interest rate. The interest rate set by the Federal Reserve affects mortgage rates. But if prices keep going up, the Federal Reserve may not cut the interest rate by much. So, lower mortgage rates might not happen as much as people hope.
The drop to lower interest rates helps the real estate market get better. The rates are not as low as in the past, but being around the low-6% range still matters. A lower rate cuts what you pay each month for your home. This helps make housing affordability better and brings more people into the real estate market who want to buy.
How Affordability Affects Buyer Confidence and Activity
Housing affordability is not only about numbers. It also changes how people feel about buying a home. If the monthly payment for a typical home takes up too much of what a family has, they may not feel ready to get a home. The good news is this should get better next year.
The mix of lower home price growth, higher incomes, and a small drop in mortgage rates means people will not have to use as much of their pay for a monthly payment. Experts say the amount people spend will soon be less than the 30% affordability threshold. This 30% point is important because it shows if the market is good for buyers. Even though this change is not big, it will help to bring more people who want to buy a home back into the market.
To take advantage of this shift, you can:
- Track your budget: Take a look at your budget. See how a lower monthly payment can work with the money you have and your plans.
- Explore down payment options: If you add a little to your down payment, it can help you pay less in the long run.
- Consider different home types: A new construction townhome or even a fixer-upper can be a good way to get your own place and keep costs down.

Credit Availability and Its Role in the Housing Market Rebound
The way real estate credit is available plays a big role in the recovery of the housing market. When banks feel sure about the real estate market, they give more loans. This helps things go in a good way. Lately, the debt market is doing better. This is good news for people looking to buy a house and for the whole real estate market.
The cost to borrow money has dropped a lot from its recent peak. At the same time, there has been a big increase in the number of commercial mortgage-backed securities, or CMBS. This shows that more cash is going back into real estate. It is now easier to get loans. When people can get credit more easily, more of them go after assets, and this helps keep the real estate market steady.
For people who want to invest, the early part of recovery may be a good time to start. Right now, it is getting easier to get money for deals. Prices are also still low compared to before. If you are careful, you can find some good chances, especially in things like data centers, warehouses, and rental housing. A lot of people still want to use these types of places.
What a Housing Market Rebound Means for Homebuyers
For people who want to buy a home, the housing market coming back is good news. This gives you new options and things to think about. The best thing is, there will be more houses to pick from. When the housing supply gets bigger, you can find more homes and feel less pressure when you make a choice.
Some price growth will still happen, but the market is now more balanced. This means you may not see strong fights over homes, and you might get more say when you talk about price. The next parts will show some chances and give you tips on how you can move through this market as it changes.
Opportunities for First-Time Buyers
First-time home buyers have faced a tough time in the past, but now things are better. There are more homes to buy, and lower interest rates too. This is a good time for new home buyers to look for a place. There is not as much strong competition as there was before, so people have a better chance to buy. Now is a good time to find a home and make your move.
One big chance that people can get is in new construction. Builders are hoping to sell the homes they have. To do this, they often give perks like lower mortgage rates. These lower mortgage rates help to get buyers more interested. In a lot of places, new homes are now a good choice. This is true, especially for small townhomes, which can cost less than older homes. So, buying new construction may save people some money.
Here are some strategies for first-time buyers:
- Look into builder incentives: You should ask the builder if there are any special deals or if they can help with your closing costs on new construction homes.
- Be open to fixer-uppers: In places where there is not much new construction, buying a home that needs some work can help you build up money in your home over time.
- Get your finances in order now: If you get pre-approved and know your budget, you can move fast when you find the right home for you.
Strategies to Secure a Competitive Edge as Demand Grows
As more people come back to the market, it is good to be ready. Even when things feel fair for both buyers and sellers, the best homes still get a lot of attention. If you want to get a home you love, you need to act fast and be sure about your choice. This can help you stay ahead of others who want that same home too.
Start by getting a full mortgage pre-approval, not just a pre-qualification. A full pre-approval will show sellers you have real financing. It says you are a serious buyer.
It is also good to work with real estate agents who understand the local market. These agents can help you put in a strong offer in this real estate market. They stay with you and give advice as you talk with the seller. This will be helpful since the real estate market is still very competitive.
To get ready for success, you can do these things:
- Know your non-negotiables: You need to know what you want in a home. This will help you act fast when you find the right house.
- Be flexible on other terms: If you can work with the seller’s timeline, you may have a better chance to get your offer picked.
- Don’t be afraid to negotiate: Bidding wars happen less now, but you can still talk about the asking price, repairs, or other details.
What a Housing Market Rebound Means for Sellers
If you want to sell your home, there is good news in the housing market. Prices in the housing market are still rising. There are also people who want to buy, so there is buyer demand. But now, buyers and sellers both have a fair chance in the housing market. Sellers do not have all the power like they once did. The good thing is you can still get something out of it from price growth and buyer demand.
Today, people who want to sell their homes need to really think about what price to ask and how they show the home. This is because housing costs are still high. The people who want to buy are looking hard at what is for sale. The next parts will help you know when to sell and how you can get your home ready. This will help you get the best results.
Timing Your Home Sale for the Best Results
Today, the housing market is steady. Because of this, selling your home is not just about waiting for the best time. It is about getting ready when buyers start looking for a house. There is something called the “lock-in effect.” This means that people did not want to sell their homes before, because they liked having low mortgage rates and wanted to keep them. Now, this is changing. Some people need to move for work, and others move when their family gets bigger. So, now more homeowners feel ready to sell.
Experts say that the spring homebuying season next year could be a good time for people who want to sell a home. That is because many think the mortgage rates will be lower. This can help to bring in more buyers. A lot of people look to purchase homes at this time of year. If you put your house up for sale then, you may get more interest. But there may also be more homes for sale, so you will have to work to make yours stand out.
If you want to sell your home, do not wait for the perfect time. That time may not come. It is better to get your home ready now. This way, you can list it when more buyers start looking. People expect it will take some years for the market to fully get better. So, if you decide to sell in 2026, you could be there at the start when things pick up and get the most out of it.
Preparing Your Property to Maximize Value
To get the most for your home when the market is not up or down, you need your place to look special. People looking to buy have many homes to pick from, so they can wait to find what works for them. First, clean up and get rid of mess. Make sure your whole home is as clean as it can be. Fix the things that are broken. A new coat of paint and making the outside look nice will help a lot too.
Lots of buyers today want things that fit their life right now. Many people have more than one generation living in the same house. So, adding an extra room for family or making the garage into a place to live can really help. Changes like this can make your home feel special when you compare it to new construction. They also make people feel like your house is worth more.
Here are some tips to prepare your property:
- Price it right from the start: Work with your real estate agent when you set the asking price. Use the latest data from the market to make sure you get it right. This way, you keep it fair for everyone.
- Focus on high-impact updates: A small update in your kitchen or bathroom can add good value. You often get more for what you put in when you do these updates.
- Get a pre-listing inspection: Find any problems before the home goes on the market. If you fix them early, you can keep from losing a buyer later on.
How to Be Ready to Move When the Market Recovers
The real estate market looks like it will get better soon. It’s good to get ready now to make the most of it. If you want to buy, sell, or do both in the real estate market, start to plan early. When you are prepared, you feel sure about what to do when it’s time to act. A big part of being ready is having your money and a clear plan set before you move ahead.
Starting early can really help you when you want to move. If you work on your credit and find a good agent, you can be ready for the next step. The following parts show what you can do now. They are here to make things easy for you. You will be ready for a smooth and good move, especially as the market gets better.
Steps to Prepare Your Finances and Credit for a Purchase or Sale
Your financial health is key for a good real estate deal. Before you look for houses or try to sell one, you need to check your money and make sure it is strong. When you feel good about your finances, you can get better real estate credit. A strong money game also helps your offer get noticed by other people.
Start by checking your credit report and your score. If you see any mistakes, make sure you fix them. Try to pay off high-interest debts, like credit cards. By doing this, you can lower the debt you have compared to what you earn. A lower debt-to-income ratio can help you get a better loan amount. It may also get you a lower interest rate. Both things can change your monthly payment.
Here are concrete steps you can take:
- Save for a down payment: Try to put away as much money as you can for the down payment. A larger down payment can help you need less money from the bank. It might also help you get a better rate, even if you cannot reach 20%.
- Automate your savings: Ask your bank to move some money to your home savings each pay. This way, you do not have to remember to do it yourself.
- Avoid new debt: Wait on getting new credit cards or taking out a car loan before you buy a home. Staying away from new debt can help you get a good loan.
Why Early Pre-Approval or Listing Preparation Matters
In an improving market, timing means a lot. If you want to buy a home, you should get a mortgage pre-approval before you start looking. This step is key. It shows you what price you can pay. It also tells sellers that you are serious and ready to buy now. When home sales go up, having a pre-approval letter lets you make a good offer fast.
If you want to sell your home, you should get started early. It is important because the housing market might take a while to pick up. You have to know that a stronger market will not come right away. A lot of people look to buy homes in the spring, so be ready for that time.
Get every repair done before you put your home in the housing market. Take good photos of your home by asking a pro, and have a plan for your listing. This will let you show your home when you are ready and help you get the best out of the housing market.
This way can help you not feel rushed when the market is looking good. It does not matter if you want to buy or sell, being ready lets you act fast and feel sure about your move. You will get a real edge over people who wait until last second to act.
Working with a Trusted Real Estate Professional for Smooth Moves
It can be hard to go from a seller’s market to a balanced market. You need someone with real estate experience to help you through this change. A good agent is your best choice during this time. A good agent does more than show homes or put your property up for sale. They give you helpful advice. They use local market information that is up to date so you can make smart choices.
If you want to buy a home, an agent will help you see homes that are hard to find on your own. They will help you talk to the people selling and help you make an offer in the best way. The agent can also help you know what the house is worth.
If you want to sell your home, an agent can help you choose the best price. This helps your home get seen by more buyers. The agent also knows how to make your home look good. They take care of all the steps for you until the sale goes through.
To find the right real estate agent, start by looking for one who has helped others in your area and done well. You can ask your friends or your family if they know someone good for this. It is a good idea to talk with more than one person, not just pick the first one you meet. This way, you can feel good about your choice. A real estate agent who knows what to do will help you have a smooth and easy move.
Conclusion
As we think about the real estate market getting better, buyers and sellers should get ready as soon as they can. News about lower mortgage rates and more people feeling sure about the future tells us that the housing market will get busy and home sales may rise next year. If you want to buy a home for the first time or want to sell, moving quickly now can help you get ahead when there are changes in the real estate market.
Get your money set up, get pre-approved, and find a real estate professional you trust. Doing these things gives you a better shot at doing well. Be ready now so you can act fast if home sales pick up. If you want things to go well, get several quotes from good people who know the housing market. They can help you every step of the way.
Frequently Asked Questions
How long is the housing market rebound expected to last?
The housing market will not get better quickly. Experts say it will take a few years for things to get back to normal. Home sales will go up, but only a little bit at a time. Price growth will also slow down and happen step by step. This slow change in the housing market will help it be more fair for people over time.
Are risks or challenges still ahead in the real estate market recovery?
Yes, the real estate market still has some problems to handle. There are some risks for the real estate market. For example, the federal reserve and any unclear fiscal policy could change mortgage rates. A weak job market also makes the real estate market tough. There is still a big need for new construction. This is to help the real estate market have enough houses and make them easier for people to buy or rent.
What can buyers and sellers do now to benefit from the coming rebound?
To get the most from the rebound in the real estate market, you need to get your money ready first. It helps if you get pre-approved for a mortgage and also know your budget. If you want to sell, be open and set a fair price for your home based on how the real estate market is right now. You should also make sure your place has something special that helps it stand out from other homes for sale.
What are the key factors driving the expected rise in home sales next year?
The expected rise in home sales is happening for three key reasons. First, mortgage rates are going down. This change makes housing affordability better for a lot of people. Second, buyer demand is also growing. More people will be able to get loans soon, so more will look for homes. The third reason is wage growth. Right now, wages are rising faster than home price. This gives people more power to buy a home.
What steps should I take to find the right real estate agent when I’m ready to move?
To find a good agent, first ask people you know and trust for their names. Look for someone who works in your local market and knows it well. Meet with a few agents before you make a choice. Pick the one who understands what you want, speaks clearly, and has a good plan for the bigger home sales that are coming up. This will help you feel good about your choice. You will also get to work with someone who knows a lot about home sales in your area.

